Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia · 9
Keilor Thunder WHOME · -
91 : 762022.06.26 · 종료
Hobart Chargers WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME80.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY19.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 82.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+80.7%
VALUE EDGE+80.7%
FAIR ODDS1.24
GRADEA
Keilor Thunder WAnalysis MetricsHobart Chargers W
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-7.92
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.75
143.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
158.92
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
7.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Keilor Thunder W
L · 74-61L · 72-78W · 77-84W · 85-75L · 83-65
Hobart Chargers W
L · 56-47L · 108-75L · 87-63L · 55-73L · 72-87
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.07.08 | Hobart Chargers W | 62 : 72 | Keilor Thunder W |
| 2023.05.20 | Keilor Thunder W | 74 : 80 | Hobart Chargers W |
| 2022.06.26 | Keilor Thunder W | 91 : 76 | Hobart Chargers W |
| 2022.04.29 | Hobart Chargers W | 55 : 68 | Keilor Thunder W |