Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Women Australia · 9

Kilsyth WHOME · -

71 : 592022.06.25 · 종료

Melbourne Tigers WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME59.8%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY40.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 54.6% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +59.8%

VALUE EDGE+59.8%

FAIR ODDS1.67

GRADEA

Kilsyth WAnalysis MetricsMelbourne Tigers W

58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 8.3%

-1.08 Point MarginHigher is better -19.67

139.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 143.83

66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.2일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement11.4 / 15

Prediction separation8.4 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

59.8%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

40.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Kilsyth W

W · 56-70L · 80-94W · 75-87L · 81-58W · 80-79

Melbourne Tigers W

L · 65-79W · 72-78L · 74-43L · 56-62L · 82-70

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.07.07	Melbourne Tigers W	65 : 89	Kilsyth W
2022.06.25	Kilsyth W	71 : 59	Melbourne Tigers W
2019.04.28	Kilsyth W	94 : 62	Melbourne Tigers W
2017.07.22	Kilsyth W	71 : 65	Melbourne Tigers W
2017.06.24	Melbourne Tigers W	59 : 76	Kilsyth W