Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

NBL1 South Women Australia · 8

Mt. Gambier WHOME · -

56 : 702022.06.18 · 종료

Kilsyth WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME59.6%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY40.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100

AI PICK HOME 54.6% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +59.6%

VALUE EDGE+59.6%

FAIR ODDS1.68

GRADEA

Mt. Gambier WAnalysis MetricsKilsyth W

66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%

+10.42 Point MarginHigher is better -1.08

161.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 139.75

60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%

13.3일 Rest daysComparison metric 13.3일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.1 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.6 / 15

Prediction separation8.2 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

59.6%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

40.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Mt. Gambier W

W · 61-67W · 65-81W · 74-43W · 60-93L · 62-55

Kilsyth W

L · 80-94W · 75-87L · 81-58W · 80-79L · 67-53

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.06.02	Mt. Gambier W	78 : 76	Kilsyth W
2022.06.18	Mt. Gambier W	56 : 70	Kilsyth W
2021.07.03	Kilsyth W	90 : 60	Mt. Gambier W