Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia · 7
Keilor Thunder WHOME · -
72 : 782022.06.04 · 종료
Melbourne Tigers WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME40.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY60.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
AWAY 54.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+60.0%
VALUE EDGE+60.0%
FAIR ODDS1.67
GRADEA
Keilor Thunder WAnalysis MetricsMelbourne Tigers W
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
8.3%
-7.92
Point MarginHigher is better
-19.67
143.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
143.83
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
6.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.1 / 15
Prediction separation8.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Keilor Thunder W
W · 77-84W · 85-75L · 83-65W · 85-77L · 60-93
Melbourne Tigers W
L · 74-43L · 56-62L · 82-70W · 69-51L · 48-85
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.15 | Keilor Thunder W | 52 : 81 | Melbourne Tigers W |
| 2022.07.10 | Melbourne Tigers W | 73 : 85 | Keilor Thunder W |
| 2022.06.04 | Keilor Thunder W | 72 : 78 | Melbourne Tigers W |