Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia · 6
Keilor Thunder WHOME · -
85 : 752022.05.28 · 종료
Ballarat WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME27.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY72.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
AWAY 72.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+72.9%
VALUE EDGE+72.9%
FAIR ODDS1.37
GRADEB
Keilor Thunder WAnalysis MetricsBallarat W
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-7.92
Point MarginHigher is better
-10.42
143.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
153.75
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
6.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Keilor Thunder W
L · 83-65W · 85-77L · 60-93L · 101-87L · 93-69
Ballarat W
W · 63-77W · 82-70L · 73-85W · 54-69L · 95-70
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.14 | Keilor Thunder W | 64 : 54 | Ballarat W |
| 2022.07.09 | Ballarat W | 89 : 79 | Keilor Thunder W |
| 2022.05.28 | Keilor Thunder W | 85 : 75 | Ballarat W |