Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia · 6
Casey Cavaliers WHOME · -
82 : 862022.05.28 · 종료
Knox WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME48.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY51.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+51.7%
VALUE EDGE+51.7%
FAIR ODDS1.94
GRADEA
Casey Cavaliers WAnalysis MetricsKnox W
8.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-9.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.08
159.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
148.08
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.0 / 15
Prediction separation1.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Casey Cavaliers W
L · 86-81W · 73-85L · 76-95L · 86-88W · 58-71
Knox W
W · 67-53W · 88-50L · 77-71W · 50-84W · 109-60
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.29 | Knox W | 81 : 65 | Casey Cavaliers W |
| 2022.05.28 | Casey Cavaliers W | 82 : 86 | Knox W |