Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia · 5
Ballarat WHOME · -
82 : 702022.05.21 · 종료
Melbourne Tigers WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME33.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY66.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
AWAY 67.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+66.7%
VALUE EDGE+66.7%
FAIR ODDS1.50
GRADEB
Ballarat WAnalysis MetricsMelbourne Tigers W
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
8.3%
-10.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-19.67
153.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
143.83
0.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
6.3일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.6 / 15
Prediction separation14.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ballarat W
L · 73-85W · 54-69L · 95-70W · 65-80W · 78-67
Melbourne Tigers W
W · 69-51L · 48-85L · 68-48L · 41-80L · 94-44
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.06.04 | Melbourne Tigers W | 68 : 75 | Ballarat W |
| 2023.04.01 | Ballarat W | 79 : 54 | Melbourne Tigers W |
| 2022.08.07 | Melbourne Tigers W | 59 : 85 | Ballarat W |
| 2022.05.21 | Ballarat W | 82 : 70 | Melbourne Tigers W |
| 2021.06.27 | Melbourne Tigers W | 68 : 80 | Ballarat W |
| 2019.07.20 | Ballarat W | 84 : 79 | Melbourne Tigers W |
| 2017.05.20 | Melbourne Tigers W | 95 : 76 | Ballarat W |
| 2017.04.22 | Ballarat W | 81 : 93 | Melbourne Tigers W |