Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia · 5
Frankston WHOME · -
86 : 812022.05.21 · 종료
Casey Cavaliers WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME42.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY58.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 54.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+58.0%
VALUE EDGE+58.0%
FAIR ODDS1.72
GRADEA
Frankston WAnalysis MetricsCasey Cavaliers W
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
8.3%
+4.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-9.50
147.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
159.67
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
6.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.1 / 15
Prediction separation6.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Frankston W
W · 70-58W · 81-57L · 73-66L · 74-57W · 72-60
Casey Cavaliers W
W · 73-85L · 76-95L · 86-88W · 58-71W · 71-86
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.07.08 | Frankston W | 91 : 74 | Casey Cavaliers W |
| 2023.05.14 | Casey Cavaliers W | 84 : 80 | Frankston W |
| 2022.07.09 | Casey Cavaliers W | 65 : 63 | Frankston W |
| 2022.05.21 | Frankston W | 86 : 81 | Casey Cavaliers W |