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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 South Women Australia · 4
Waverley WHOME · -
92 : 852022.05.15 · 종료
Launceston WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME35.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY64.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK AWAY 58.6% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +64.4%
VALUE EDGE+64.4%
FAIR ODDS1.55
GRADEA
Waverley WAnalysis MetricsLaunceston W
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
+14.92 Point MarginHigher is better -3.75
154.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 150.58
75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 66.7%
0.7일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.7일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.7 / 15
Prediction separation12.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
35.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
64.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Waverley W
L · 70-58W · 74-69L · 109-60W · 70-65L · 65-74
Launceston W
W · 65-92W · 85-67W · 93-69W · 81-43W · 75-96

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.05.07Waverley W98 : 63Launceston W
2022.07.30Launceston W76 : 96Waverley W
2022.05.15Waverley W92 : 85Launceston W
2019.07.20Launceston W77 : 99Waverley W
2019.04.28Waverley W88 : 92Launceston W