Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia · 4
Melbourne Tigers WHOME · -
69 : 512022.05.15 · 종료
Hobart Chargers WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME83.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY16.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
HOME 82.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+83.8%
VALUE EDGE+83.8%
FAIR ODDS1.19
GRADEA
Melbourne Tigers WAnalysis MetricsHobart Chargers W
8.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-19.67
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.75
143.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
158.92
14.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Melbourne Tigers W
L · 48-85L · 68-48L · 41-80L · 94-44W · 72-78
Hobart Chargers W
L · 69-62L · 57-75L · 55-68L · 81-43L · 93-57
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.28 | Hobart Chargers W | 82 : 51 | Melbourne Tigers W |
| 2022.05.15 | Melbourne Tigers W | 69 : 51 | Hobart Chargers W |
| 2021.05.02 | Melbourne Tigers W | 109 : 87 | Hobart Chargers W |
| 2017.07.08 | Melbourne Tigers W | 83 : 80 | Hobart Chargers W |
| 2017.04.07 | Hobart Chargers W | 62 : 57 | Melbourne Tigers W |