Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia · 4
Ballarat WHOME · -
73 : 852022.05.15 · 종료
Casey Cavaliers WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME22.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY77.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 77.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+77.1%
VALUE EDGE+77.1%
FAIR ODDS1.30
GRADEB
Ballarat WAnalysis MetricsCasey Cavaliers W
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
8.3%
-10.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-9.50
153.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
159.67
0.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
0.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ballarat W
W · 54-69L · 95-70W · 65-80W · 78-67L · 69-81
Casey Cavaliers W
L · 76-95L · 86-88W · 58-71W · 71-86W · 94-44
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.05.27 | Casey Cavaliers W | 66 : 79 | Ballarat W |
| 2022.05.15 | Ballarat W | 73 : 85 | Casey Cavaliers W |