Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia · 4
Kilsyth WHOME · -
54 : 692022.05.14 · 종료
Ballarat WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME74.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY25.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM77 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 72.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+74.3%
VALUE EDGE+74.3%
FAIR ODDS1.35
GRADES
Kilsyth WAnalysis MetricsBallarat W
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-1.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-10.42
139.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
153.75
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
77/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kilsyth W
L · 85-67W · 57-75L · 58-71W · 68-62L · 57-48
Ballarat W
L · 95-70W · 65-80W · 78-67L · 69-81W · 70-78
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.06.24 | Kilsyth W | 64 : 58 | Ballarat W |
| 2022.05.14 | Kilsyth W | 54 : 69 | Ballarat W |
| 2021.06.26 | Ballarat W | 58 : 86 | Kilsyth W |
| 2019.05.11 | Kilsyth W | 88 : 66 | Ballarat W |
| 2017.05.21 | Ballarat W | 55 : 80 | Kilsyth W |
| 2016.07.23 | Kilsyth W | 88 : 64 | Ballarat W |
| 2015.08.15 | Kilsyth W | 90 : 79 | Ballarat W |
| 2015.04.26 | Ballarat W | 51 : 94 | Kilsyth W |