Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia · 4
Geelong WHOME · -
77 : 712022.05.13 · 종료
Knox WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME40.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY59.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
AWAY 54.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+59.9%
VALUE EDGE+59.9%
FAIR ODDS1.67
GRADEA
Geelong WAnalysis MetricsKnox W
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
+8.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.08
152.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
148.08
85.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
6.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.7 / 15
Prediction separation8.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Geelong W
W · 101-87L · 78-73W · 63-54W · 69-81W · 78-83
Knox W
W · 50-84W · 109-60L · 68-62L · 39-55L · 72-78
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.06.03 | Geelong W | 82 : 47 | Knox W |
| 2022.05.13 | Geelong W | 77 : 71 | Knox W |
| 2021.04.17 | Knox W | 79 : 72 | Geelong W |