Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia · 3
Dandenong Rangers WHOME · -
77 : 922022.05.08 · 종료
Mt. Gambier WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME59.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY40.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 54.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+59.4%
VALUE EDGE+59.4%
FAIR ODDS1.68
GRADEB
Dandenong Rangers WAnalysis MetricsMt. Gambier W
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-1.58
Point MarginHigher is better
+10.42
155.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
161.75
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
71.4%
7.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
66/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.4 / 15
Prediction separation8.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Dandenong Rangers W
W · 70-73L · 71-86L · 72-60L · 83-70L · 75-96
Mt. Gambier W
W · 86-88W · 73-66W · 99-58W · 83-51L · 80-75
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.07.02 | Mt. Gambier W | 92 : 59 | Dandenong Rangers W |
| 2022.05.08 | Dandenong Rangers W | 77 : 92 | Mt. Gambier W |