Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Women Australia · 3

Geelong WHOME · -

101 : 872022.05.07 · 종료

Keilor Thunder WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME66.9%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY33.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 67.4% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +66.9%

VALUE EDGE+66.9%

FAIR ODDS1.50

GRADEA

Geelong WAnalysis MetricsKeilor Thunder W

75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%

+8.50 Point MarginHigher is better -7.92

152.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 143.75

85.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%

6.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.9일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.8 / 15

Prediction separation14.5 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

66.9%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

33.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Geelong W

L · 78-73W · 63-54W · 69-81W · 78-83W · 80-75

Keilor Thunder W

L · 93-69W · 55-68L · 64-86

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.07.15	Geelong W	76 : 72	Keilor Thunder W
2023.06.04	Keilor Thunder W	66 : 77	Geelong W
2022.08.06	Keilor Thunder W	65 : 72	Geelong W
2022.05.07	Geelong W	101 : 87	Keilor Thunder W