Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Women Australia · 2

Melbourne Tigers WHOME · -

41 : 802022.05.01 · 종료

Eltham WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME53.6%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY46.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100

AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +53.6%

VALUE EDGE+53.6%

FAIR ODDS1.87

GRADEA

Melbourne Tigers WAnalysis MetricsEltham W

8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

-19.67 Point MarginHigher is better -5.58

143.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 151.25

14.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 42.9%

8.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.1 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement6.5 / 15

Prediction separation3.1 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

53.6%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

46.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Melbourne Tigers W

L · 94-44W · 72-78W · 49-100L · 71-56L · 68-80

Eltham W

L · 78-67L · 70-55W · 63-82W · 73-71L · 53-75

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.05.13	Eltham W	85 : 56	Melbourne Tigers W
2022.05.01	Melbourne Tigers W	41 : 80	Eltham W
2019.07.21	Melbourne Tigers W	72 : 93	Eltham W