Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia · 2
Bendigo WHOME · -
78 : 732022.05.01 · 종료
Geelong WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME67.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY32.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+67.8%
VALUE EDGE+67.8%
FAIR ODDS1.47
GRADEA
Bendigo WAnalysis MetricsGeelong W
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
-7.50
Point MarginHigher is better
+8.50
161.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
152.50
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
60.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Bendigo W
L · 70-65W · 64-86L · 83-80W · 82-65L · 70-85
Geelong W
W · 63-54W · 69-81W · 78-83W · 80-75L · 73-70
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.05.27 | Bendigo W | 92 : 75 | Geelong W |
| 2023.04.15 | Geelong W | 86 : 89 | Bendigo W |
| 2022.07.01 | Geelong W | 70 : 92 | Bendigo W |
| 2022.05.01 | Bendigo W | 78 : 73 | Geelong W |
| 2019.08.11 | Geelong W | 83 : 80 | Bendigo W |
| 2019.07.20 | Geelong W | 58 : 88 | Bendigo W |
| 2019.05.12 | Bendigo W | 95 : 111 | Geelong W |
| 2017.09.02 | Geelong W | 76 : 67 | Bendigo W |
| 2017.07.15 | Bendigo W | 65 : 89 | Geelong W |
| 2017.05.20 | Geelong W | 87 : 61 | Bendigo W |