Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

NBL1 South Women Australia · 2

Mt. Gambier WHOME · -

73 : 662022.04.30 · 종료

Frankston WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME39.0%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY61.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100

AI PICK AWAY 58.6% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +61.0%

VALUE EDGE+61.0%

FAIR ODDS1.64

GRADEB

Mt. Gambier WAnalysis MetricsFrankston W

66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%

+10.42 Point MarginHigher is better +4.17

161.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 147.50

60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 80.0%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.1일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.1 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement8.1 / 15

Prediction separation9.4 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

39.0%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

61.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Mt. Gambier W

W · 99-58W · 83-51L · 80-75L · 92-66L · 90-60

Frankston W

L · 74-57W · 72-60W · 62-75L · 62-73W · 73-55

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.04.16	Frankston W	63 : 86	Mt. Gambier W
2022.06.04	Frankston W	65 : 81	Mt. Gambier W
2022.04.30	Mt. Gambier W	73 : 66	Frankston W