Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia · 2
Launceston WHOME · -
93 : 692022.04.30 · 종료
Keilor Thunder WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME57.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY42.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 54.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+57.1%
VALUE EDGE+57.1%
FAIR ODDS1.75
GRADEA
Launceston WAnalysis MetricsKeilor Thunder W
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-3.75
Point MarginHigher is better
-7.92
150.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
143.75
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.6 / 15
Prediction separation6.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Launceston W
W · 81-43W · 75-96W · 73-70L · 74-87W · 100-52
Keilor Thunder W
W · 55-68L · 64-86
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.07.07 | Launceston W | 87 : 65 | Keilor Thunder W |
| 2022.04.30 | Launceston W | 93 : 69 | Keilor Thunder W |