Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

NBL1 South Women Australia · 2

Ballarat WHOME · -

78 : 672022.04.30 · 종료

Eltham WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME24.3%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY75.7%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK AWAY 77.8% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +75.7%

VALUE EDGE+75.7%

FAIR ODDS1.32

GRADES

Ballarat WAnalysis MetricsEltham W

16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

-10.42 Point MarginHigher is better -5.58

153.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 151.25

0.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 42.9%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.7 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

24.3%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

75.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Ballarat W

L · 69-81W · 70-78L · 63-82L · 52-67L · 85-78

Eltham W

L · 70-55W · 63-82W · 73-71L · 53-75W · 80-94

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.07.02	Ballarat W	87 : 91	Eltham W
2022.04.30	Ballarat W	78 : 67	Eltham W
2021.07.31	Ballarat W	63 : 82	Eltham W
2019.05.12	Eltham W	72 : 80	Ballarat W