Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Women Australia · 2

Geelong WHOME · -

63 : 542022.04.30 · 종료

Ringwood WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME53.6%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY46.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +53.6%

VALUE EDGE+53.6%

FAIR ODDS1.87

GRADEA

Geelong WAnalysis MetricsRingwood W

75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%

+8.50 Point MarginHigher is better +6.67

152.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 154.33

85.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 57.1%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.9일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.8 / 15

Prediction separation3.1 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

53.6%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

46.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Geelong W

W · 69-81W · 78-83W · 80-75L · 73-70W · 69-98

Ringwood W

W · 39-55W · 57-48W · 65-74W · 84-74L · 66-65

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.07.07	Ringwood W	72 : 71	Geelong W
2022.04.30	Geelong W	63 : 54	Ringwood W
2021.04.24	Ringwood W	84 : 55	Geelong W
2019.08.03	Geelong W	78 : 63	Ringwood W
2019.07.06	Ringwood W	78 : 70	Geelong W