Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia · 1
Mt. Gambier WHOME · -
99 : 582022.04.23 · 종료
Diamond Valley WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME66.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY33.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+66.9%
VALUE EDGE+66.9%
FAIR ODDS1.50
GRADEA
Mt. Gambier WAnalysis MetricsDiamond Valley W
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+10.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-0.08
161.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
158.42
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.2 / 15
Prediction separation14.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mt. Gambier W
W · 83-51L · 80-75L · 92-66L · 90-60L · 82-79
Diamond Valley W
L · 84-74L · 71-54W · 85-78L · 55-95L · 73-55
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.06.09 | Mt. Gambier W | 82 : 75 | Diamond Valley W |
| 2022.07.09 | Diamond Valley W | 74 : 99 | Mt. Gambier W |
| 2022.04.23 | Mt. Gambier W | 99 : 58 | Diamond Valley W |