Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia · 1
Launceston WHOME · -
81 : 432022.04.23 · 종료
Hobart Chargers WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME79.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY20.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+79.9%
VALUE EDGE+79.9%
FAIR ODDS1.25
GRADEA
Launceston WAnalysis MetricsHobart Chargers W
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-3.75
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.75
150.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
158.92
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Launceston W
W · 75-96W · 73-70L · 74-87W · 100-52W · 82-79
Hobart Chargers W
L · 93-57L · 85-52L · 88-70L · 69-98L · 66-80
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.07.14 | Hobart Chargers W | 83 : 69 | Launceston W |
| 2023.04.01 | Launceston W | 92 : 53 | Hobart Chargers W |
| 2022.08.12 | Hobart Chargers W | 67 : 76 | Launceston W |
| 2022.04.23 | Launceston W | 81 : 43 | Hobart Chargers W |
| 2021.06.05 | Launceston W | 100 : 52 | Hobart Chargers W |
| 2021.04.17 | Hobart Chargers W | 61 : 91 | Launceston W |
| 2017.08.11 | Hobart Chargers W | 82 : 86 | Launceston W |
| 2017.07.15 | Launceston W | 73 : 99 | Hobart Chargers W |
| 2017.03.25 | Hobart Chargers W | 66 : 50 | Launceston W |
| 2016.08.06 | Launceston W | 69 : 64 | Hobart Chargers W |