Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia · 1
Ballarat WHOME · -
69 : 812022.04.23 · 종료
Geelong WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME25.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY74.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 72.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+74.1%
VALUE EDGE+74.1%
FAIR ODDS1.35
GRADES
Ballarat WAnalysis MetricsGeelong W
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
-10.42
Point MarginHigher is better
+8.50
153.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
152.50
0.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
60.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ballarat W
W · 70-78L · 63-82L · 52-67L · 85-78L · 72-95
Geelong W
W · 78-83W · 80-75L · 73-70W · 69-98W · 55-95
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.07.08 | Geelong W | 84 : 79 | Ballarat W |
| 2022.06.04 | Geelong W | 77 : 72 | Ballarat W |
| 2022.04.23 | Ballarat W | 69 : 81 | Geelong W |
| 2019.07.03 | Ballarat W | 70 : 82 | Geelong W |
| 2019.06.15 | Geelong W | 83 : 60 | Ballarat W |
| 2017.03.31 | Geelong W | 90 : 64 | Ballarat W |
| 2016.08.13 | Geelong W | 68 : 77 | Ballarat W |
| 2016.07.02 | Ballarat W | 65 : 56 | Geelong W |
| 2015.07.08 | Ballarat W | 65 : 62 | Geelong W |
| 2015.04.11 | Geelong W | 66 : 64 | Ballarat W |