Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South Women
Australia · 1
Casey Cavaliers WHOME · -
94 : 442022.04.22 · 종료
Melbourne Tigers WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME24.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY75.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 77.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+75.7%
VALUE EDGE+75.7%
FAIR ODDS1.32
GRADEB
Casey Cavaliers WAnalysis MetricsMelbourne Tigers W
8.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
8.3%
-9.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-19.67
159.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
143.83
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
66/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Casey Cavaliers W
Collecting Data
Melbourne Tigers W
W · 72-78W · 49-100L · 71-56L · 68-80W · 89-66
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.07.09 | Melbourne Tigers W | 71 : 64 | Casey Cavaliers W |
| 2022.04.22 | Casey Cavaliers W | 94 : 44 | Melbourne Tigers W |