Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
GeelongHOME · -
81 : 892024.05.25 · 종료
NW TasmaniaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME67.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY32.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point Margin · Pace · 최근 승률 · 홈코트 · 휴식일
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 68.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+67.4%
VALUE EDGE+67.4%
FAIR ODDS1.48
GRADEA
GeelongAnalysis MetricsNW Tasmania
50.0%
최근 승률높을수록 유리
41.7%
-2.00
Point Margin높을수록 유리
-6.58
178.67
Pace Proxy비교용 지표
168.75
66.7%
홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리
37.5%
6.2일
휴식일비교용 지표
6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
데이터 커버리지19.9 / 20
시장/배당4.5 / 15
최근 전력10.0 / 10
과거 표본10.0 / 10
모델 일치도13.0 / 15
예측 분리도14.9 / 15
데이터 신선도0.0 / 10
종목 핵심정보4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-표본 0경기
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-표본 0경기
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-현재 이동 -
OPEN → NOW- → -배당 업데이트 -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Geelong
L · 115-83W · 87-86W · 81-84L · 74-85L · 83-69
NW Tasmania
W · 80-81W · 82-87L · 74-84L · 76-101W · 84-83
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.05.25 | Geelong | 81 : 89 | NW Tasmania |
| 2023.05.13 | NW Tasmania | 72 : 98 | Geelong |
| 2018.07.28 | Geelong | 96 : 74 | NW Tasmania |
| 2018.05.05 | NW Tasmania | 96 : 78 | Geelong |
| 2016.08.06 | Geelong | 93 : 74 | NW Tasmania |
| 2016.07.23 | NW Tasmania | 72 : 104 | Geelong |
| 2015.07.05 | Geelong | 86 : 76 | NW Tasmania |
| 2015.04.18 | NW Tasmania | 81 : 75 | Geelong |