Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Australia

Mt GambierHOME · -

89 : 912024.05.24 · 종료

ElthamAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME61.4%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY38.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 57.3% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +61.4%

VALUE EDGE+61.4%

FAIR ODDS1.63

GRADEA

Mt GambierAnalysis MetricsEltham

16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 83.3%

-8.58 Point MarginHigher is better +14.58

184.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 169.42

12.5% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 100.0%

5.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement5.1 / 15

Prediction separation9.7 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

61.4%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

38.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Mt Gambier

W · 70-82W · 77-98W · 96-78W · 75-90W · 81-93

Eltham

L · 85-90L · 95-82L · 77-86L · 89-81W · 99-59

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.05.17	Eltham	95 : 77	Mt Gambier
2024.07.27	Mt Gambier	82 : 91	Eltham
2024.05.24	Mt Gambier	89 : 91	Eltham
2023.07.16	Eltham	95 : 88	Mt Gambier