Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Australia

Casey CavaliersHOME · -

70 : 822024.05.19 · 종료

Mt GambierAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME20.1%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY79.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100

AI PICK AWAY 77.3% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +79.9%

VALUE EDGE+79.9%

FAIR ODDS1.25

GRADEB

Casey CavaliersAnalysis MetricsMt Gambier

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%

+2.08 Point MarginHigher is better -8.58

182.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 184.42

66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 25.0%

0.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

66/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.1 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement4.0 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

20.1%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

79.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Casey Cavaliers

L · 81-64L · 69-87L · 107-83L · 84-83L · 88-79

Mt Gambier

W · 77-98W · 96-78W · 75-90W · 81-93L · 83-96

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.05.23	Mt Gambier	85 : 109	Casey Cavaliers
2024.05.19	Casey Cavaliers	70 : 82	Mt Gambier
2023.04.14	Mt Gambier	97 : 80	Casey Cavaliers