Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Australia

NunawadingHOME · -

98 : 772024.05.19 · 종료

Keilor ThunderAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME64.7%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY35.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 57.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +64.7%

VALUE EDGE+64.7%

FAIR ODDS1.55

GRADEA

NunawadingAnalysis MetricsKeilor Thunder

66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 75.0%

+6.83 Point MarginHigher is better +8.25

194.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 173.75

50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 71.4%

0.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement12.6 / 15

Prediction separation12.6 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

64.7%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

35.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Nunawading

L · 87-86L · 96-78L · 88-91W · 77-83W · 74-94

Keilor Thunder

W · 77-69W · 97-101L · 83-113W · 107-101W · 83-96

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.08.01	Nunawading	83 : 79	Keilor Thunder
2026.04.19	Nunawading	102 : 83	Keilor Thunder
2024.05.19	Nunawading	98 : 77	Keilor Thunder
2023.07.01	Keilor Thunder	90 : 105	Nunawading