Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Australia

KilsythHOME · -

80 : 812024.05.19 · 종료

NW TasmaniaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME52.2%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY47.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 99/100

AI PICK HOME 52.6% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +52.2%

VALUE EDGE+52.2%

FAIR ODDS1.92

GRADEA

KilsythAnalysis MetricsNW Tasmania

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

-4.00 Point MarginHigher is better -6.00

180.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 169.50

75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 37.5%

0.7일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement13.7 / 15

Prediction separation1.9 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

52.2%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

47.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Kilsyth

L · 87-82L · 68-80W · 69-87W · 83-69L · 100-90

NW Tasmania

W · 82-87L · 74-84L · 76-101W · 84-83W · 98-95

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.05.19	Kilsyth	80 : 81	NW Tasmania
2023.06.18	Kilsyth	93 : 68	NW Tasmania
2018.04.07	NW Tasmania	72 : 70	Kilsyth
2016.07.09	NW Tasmania	85 : 78	Kilsyth
2016.06.26	Kilsyth	80 : 87	NW Tasmania
2015.08.22	NW Tasmania	86 : 69	Kilsyth
2015.08.08	NW Tasmania	78 : 89	Kilsyth
2015.05.24	Kilsyth	87 : 62	NW Tasmania