Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
KnoxHOME · -
91 : 802024.05.19 · 종료
Hobart ChargersAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME62.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY37.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+62.9%
VALUE EDGE+62.9%
FAIR ODDS1.59
GRADEA
KnoxAnalysis MetricsHobart Chargers
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
+7.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-11.50
188.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
190.33
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
14.3%
0.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.2 / 15
Prediction separation11.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Knox
L · 77-98W · 107-83W · 72-101L · 79-74W · 55-87
Hobart Chargers
L · 77-69W · 81-63W · 88-80L · 79-88W · 88-79
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.17 | Knox | 121 : 86 | Hobart Chargers |
| 2024.05.19 | Knox | 91 : 80 | Hobart Chargers |
| 2023.04.22 | Hobart Chargers | 76 : 73 | Knox |