Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
WaverleyHOME · -
87 : 822024.05.18 · 종료
KilsythAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME71.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY28.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 72.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+71.4%
VALUE EDGE+71.4%
FAIR ODDS1.40
GRADEB
WaverleyAnalysis MetricsKilsyth
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-5.92
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.00
187.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
180.00
0.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
37.5%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.3일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
66/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Waverley
W · 110-75W · 90-82L · 107-101W · 95-83L · 93-94
Kilsyth
L · 68-80W · 69-87W · 83-69L · 100-90L · 74-94
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.04.16 | Kilsyth | 100 : 87 | Waverley |
| 2024.05.18 | Waverley | 87 : 82 | Kilsyth |
| 2023.06.04 | Waverley | 93 : 90 | Kilsyth |