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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 South Australia
RingwoodHOME · -
82 : 872024.05.18 · 종료
NW TasmaniaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME63.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY36.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 57.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +63.7%
VALUE EDGE+63.7%
FAIR ODDS1.57
GRADEA
RingwoodAnalysis MetricsNW Tasmania
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-4.50 Point MarginHigher is better -6.33
186.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 168.83
80.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 37.5%
6.3일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.4 / 15
Prediction separation11.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
63.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
36.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ringwood
L · 81-84L · 91-99W · 77-86W · 77-89L · 95-83
NW Tasmania
L · 74-84L · 76-101W · 84-83W · 98-95L · 105-96

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.05.18Ringwood82 : 87NW Tasmania
2023.06.02NW Tasmania83 : 78Ringwood