Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
KnoxHOME · -
77 : 982024.05.18 · 종료
Mt GambierAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME66.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY33.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
HOME 68.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+66.1%
VALUE EDGE+66.1%
FAIR ODDS1.51
GRADES
KnoxAnalysis MetricsMt Gambier
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
+7.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-8.58
188.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
184.42
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
25.0%
6.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.7 / 15
Prediction separation13.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Knox
W · 107-83W · 72-101L · 79-74W · 55-87L · 103-99
Mt Gambier
W · 96-78W · 75-90W · 81-93L · 83-96W · 91-84
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.03 | Mt Gambier | 76 : 97 | Knox |
| 2026.05.02 | Knox | 108 : 111 | Mt Gambier |
| 2024.07.05 | Mt Gambier | 93 : 85 | Knox |
| 2024.05.18 | Knox | 77 : 98 | Mt Gambier |
| 2023.08.04 | Mt Gambier | 63 : 68 | Knox |
| 2023.05.27 | Mt Gambier | 63 : 77 | Knox |