Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
Keilor ThunderHOME · -
77 : 692024.05.18 · 종료
Hobart ChargersAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME31.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY68.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 68.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+68.9%
VALUE EDGE+68.9%
FAIR ODDS1.45
GRADEA
Keilor ThunderAnalysis MetricsHobart Chargers
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
+8.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-11.50
173.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
190.33
80.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
14.3%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Keilor Thunder
W · 97-101L · 83-113W · 107-101W · 83-96W · 105-96
Hobart Chargers
W · 81-63W · 88-80L · 79-88W · 88-79W · 74-84
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.05.10 | Keilor Thunder | 107 : 83 | Hobart Chargers |
| 2024.05.18 | Keilor Thunder | 77 : 69 | Hobart Chargers |
| 2023.07.08 | Hobart Chargers | 97 : 89 | Keilor Thunder |
| 2023.05.20 | Keilor Thunder | 78 : 81 | Hobart Chargers |