Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
Diamond ValleyHOME · -
77 : 882024.05.18 · 종료
DandenongAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME43.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY57.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+57.0%
VALUE EDGE+57.0%
FAIR ODDS1.75
GRADEB
Diamond ValleyAnalysis MetricsDandenong
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-1.67
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.25
183.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
184.42
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.4 / 15
Prediction separation6.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Diamond Valley
W · 91-99W · 88-91L · 72-101L · 79-89L · 80-104
Dandenong
L · 97-101W · 100-90L · 90-82W · 78-74L · 95-78
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.18 | Diamond Valley | 97 : 87 | Dandenong |
| 2026.06.13 | Dandenong | 88 : 100 | Diamond Valley |
| 2024.05.18 | Diamond Valley | 77 : 88 | Dandenong |
| 2023.04.16 | Dandenong | 89 : 90 | Diamond Valley |
| 2018.06.03 | Dandenong | 83 : 70 | Diamond Valley |
| 2018.04.22 | Diamond Valley | 74 : 83 | Dandenong |