Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
GeelongHOME · -
87 : 862024.05.18 · 종료
NunawadingAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME45.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY54.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+54.9%
VALUE EDGE+54.9%
FAIR ODDS1.82
GRADES
GeelongAnalysis MetricsNunawading
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-2.00
Point MarginHigher is better
+6.83
178.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
194.00
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
100.0%
6.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.4 / 15
Prediction separation4.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Geelong
W · 81-84L · 74-85L · 83-69L · 81-93L · 78-74
Nunawading
L · 96-78L · 88-91W · 77-83W · 74-94L · 72-81
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.06.27 | Geelong | 100 : 106 | Nunawading |
| 2024.06.23 | Nunawading | 74 : 75 | Geelong |
| 2024.05.18 | Geelong | 87 : 86 | Nunawading |
| 2023.05.20 | Geelong | 90 : 82 | Nunawading |
| 2018.05.20 | Geelong | 85 : 86 | Nunawading |
| 2016.05.28 | Nunawading | 86 : 68 | Geelong |
| 2015.06.27 | Geelong | 94 : 63 | Nunawading |
| 2015.05.17 | Nunawading | 94 : 83 | Geelong |