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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 South Australia
Bendigo BravesHOME · -
81 : 642024.05.18 · 종료
Casey CavaliersAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME59.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY40.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK HOME 52.9% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +59.9%
VALUE EDGE+59.9%
FAIR ODDS1.67
GRADEA
Bendigo BravesAnalysis MetricsCasey Cavaliers
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-10.33 Point MarginHigher is better +2.08
170.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 182.42
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.4 / 15
Prediction separation8.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
59.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
40.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Bendigo Braves
W · 90-79L · 75-90L · 110-75L · 77-89L · 61-111
Casey Cavaliers
L · 69-87L · 107-83L · 84-83L · 88-79W · 69-87

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.06.27Bendigo Braves84 : 96Casey Cavaliers
2026.05.17Casey Cavaliers109 : 76Bendigo Braves
2024.05.18Bendigo Braves81 : 64Casey Cavaliers
2024.04.14Casey Cavaliers79 : 81Bendigo Braves
2023.06.04Bendigo Braves78 : 65Casey Cavaliers
2023.04.21Casey Cavaliers92 : 60Bendigo Braves