Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Australia

KilsythHOME · -

68 : 802024.05.12 · 종료

BallaratAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME36.7%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY63.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK AWAY 57.5% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +63.3%

VALUE EDGE+63.3%

FAIR ODDS1.58

GRADEA

KilsythAnalysis MetricsBallarat

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%

-4.00 Point MarginHigher is better -8.58

180.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 203.58

75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%

0.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.8일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement6.3 / 15

Prediction separation11.4 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

36.7%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

63.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Kilsyth

W · 69-87W · 83-69L · 100-90L · 74-94L · 99-59

Ballarat

W · 95-82W · 83-113W · 79-88L · 98-95W · 112-81

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.05.02	Kilsyth	98 : 67	Ballarat
2024.05.12	Kilsyth	68 : 80	Ballarat
2023.06.24	Kilsyth	96 : 97	Ballarat
2018.06.30	Ballarat	89 : 104	Kilsyth
2016.07.23	Kilsyth	95 : 79	Ballarat
2015.04.26	Ballarat	78 : 100	Kilsyth