Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
DandenongHOME · -
97 : 1012024.05.11 · 종료
Keilor ThunderAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME61.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY38.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+61.4%
VALUE EDGE+61.4%
FAIR ODDS1.63
GRADEA
DandenongAnalysis MetricsKeilor Thunder
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
-3.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+8.25
184.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
173.75
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
71.4%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.4 / 15
Prediction separation9.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Dandenong
W · 100-90L · 90-82W · 78-74L · 95-78W · 79-74
Keilor Thunder
L · 83-113W · 107-101W · 83-96W · 105-96L · 69-87
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.05.24 | Keilor Thunder | 94 : 79 | Dandenong |
| 2024.06.29 | Keilor Thunder | 72 : 75 | Dandenong |
| 2024.05.11 | Dandenong | 97 : 101 | Keilor Thunder |
| 2023.06.03 | Keilor Thunder | 84 : 81 | Dandenong |