Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
Casey CavaliersHOME · -
69 : 872024.05.11 · 종료
KilsythAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME53.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY46.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+53.1%
VALUE EDGE+53.1%
FAIR ODDS1.88
GRADEA
Casey CavaliersAnalysis MetricsKilsyth
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+2.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.00
182.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
180.00
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
37.5%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.9 / 15
Prediction separation2.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Casey Cavaliers
L · 107-83L · 84-83L · 88-79W · 69-87L · 79-81
Kilsyth
W · 83-69L · 100-90L · 74-94L · 99-59L · 73-112
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.04 | Kilsyth | 105 : 86 | Casey Cavaliers |
| 2024.05.11 | Casey Cavaliers | 69 : 87 | Kilsyth |
| 2023.05.20 | Kilsyth | 64 : 72 | Casey Cavaliers |