Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
BallaratHOME · -
95 : 822024.05.11 · 종료
ElthamAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME62.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY37.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+62.1%
VALUE EDGE+62.1%
FAIR ODDS1.61
GRADEA
BallaratAnalysis MetricsEltham
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
-8.58
Point MarginHigher is better
+14.58
203.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
169.42
20.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
100.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.1 / 15
Prediction separation10.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ballarat
W · 83-113W · 79-88L · 98-95W · 112-81W · 94-105
Eltham
L · 77-86L · 89-81W · 99-59W · 96-75W · 75-85
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.04.18 | Ballarat | 60 : 107 | Eltham |
| 2024.08.10 | Ballarat | 70 : 79 | Eltham |
| 2024.07.13 | Eltham | 93 : 75 | Ballarat |
| 2024.05.11 | Ballarat | 95 : 82 | Eltham |
| 2023.07.02 | Ballarat | 82 : 68 | Eltham |