Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Australia

NW TasmaniaHOME · -

74 : 842024.05.11 · 종료

Melbourne TigersAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME57.6%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY42.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 52.9% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +57.6%

VALUE EDGE+57.6%

FAIR ODDS1.74

GRADEA

NW TasmaniaAnalysis MetricsMelbourne Tigers

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%

-5.08 Point MarginHigher is better +9.25

169.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 167.75

66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 80.0%

7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement7.5 / 15

Prediction separation6.5 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

57.6%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

42.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

NW Tasmania

L · 76-101W · 84-83W · 98-95L · 105-96L · 91-84

Melbourne Tigers

L · 81-63L · 85-71W · 89-81W · 79-89W · 93-94

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.05.11	NW Tasmania	74 : 84	Melbourne Tigers
2023.04.29	NW Tasmania	69 : 84	Melbourne Tigers
2018.07.08	Melbourne Tigers	77 : 97	NW Tasmania
2018.06.16	NW Tasmania	94 : 92	Melbourne Tigers
2016.06.25	Melbourne Tigers	79 : 87	NW Tasmania