Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Australia

GeelongHOME · -

74 : 852024.05.11 · 종료

Sandringham SabresAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME32.1%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY67.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100

AI PICK AWAY 68.1% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +67.9%

VALUE EDGE+67.9%

FAIR ODDS1.47

GRADEA

GeelongAnalysis MetricsSandringham Sabres

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

-2.00 Point MarginHigher is better +3.08

178.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 188.58

66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%

6.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.1 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement13.2 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

32.1%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

67.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Geelong

L · 83-69L · 81-93L · 78-74W · 67-64L · 103-97

Sandringham Sabres

W · 85-71L · 77-83W · 61-111W · 80-104W · 73-112

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.05.02	Geelong	70 : 94	Sandringham Sabres
2024.05.11	Geelong	74 : 85	Sandringham Sabres
2023.04.21	Geelong	87 : 92	Sandringham Sabres