Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
Mt GambierHOME · -
96 : 782024.05.10 · 종료
NunawadingAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME53.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY46.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+53.1%
VALUE EDGE+53.1%
FAIR ODDS1.88
GRADEA
Mt GambierAnalysis MetricsNunawading
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-8.58
Point MarginHigher is better
+6.83
184.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
194.00
12.5%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
100.0%
5.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.5 / 15
Prediction separation2.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mt Gambier
W · 75-90W · 81-93L · 83-96W · 91-84L · 94-105
Nunawading
L · 88-91W · 77-83W · 74-94L · 72-81L · 96-75
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.06.28 | Nunawading | 110 : 100 | Mt Gambier |
| 2024.06.29 | Nunawading | 80 : 97 | Mt Gambier |
| 2024.05.10 | Mt Gambier | 96 : 78 | Nunawading |
| 2023.04.02 | Nunawading | 94 : 104 | Mt Gambier |
| 2018.06.28 | Mt Gambier | 84 : 71 | Nunawading |
| 2016.05.14 | Nunawading | 84 : 78 | Mt Gambier |
| 2015.08.16 | Nunawading | 59 : 66 | Mt Gambier |
| 2015.04.10 | Mt Gambier | 74 : 88 | Nunawading |