Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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NBL1 South Australia

Bendigo BravesHOME · -

75 : 902024.05.05 · 종료

Mt GambierAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME32.8%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY67.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK AWAY 68.1% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +67.2%

VALUE EDGE+67.2%

FAIR ODDS1.49

GRADEA

Bendigo BravesAnalysis MetricsMt Gambier

16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%

-10.33 Point MarginHigher is better -8.58

170.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 184.42

33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 25.0%

0.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.9일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement12.7 / 15

Prediction separation14.8 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

32.8%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

67.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Bendigo Braves

L · 110-75L · 77-89L · 61-111W · 79-81W · 81-88

Mt Gambier

W · 81-93L · 83-96W · 91-84L · 94-105W · 93-87

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.07.04	Mt Gambier	88 : 70	Bendigo Braves
2026.05.16	Bendigo Braves	82 : 94	Mt Gambier
2024.05.05	Bendigo Braves	75 : 90	Mt Gambier
2023.06.30	Mt Gambier	94 : 65	Bendigo Braves