Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
KilsythHOME · -
83 : 692024.05.05 · 종료
GeelongAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME33.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY66.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
AWAY 68.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+66.6%
VALUE EDGE+66.6%
FAIR ODDS1.50
GRADEA
KilsythAnalysis MetricsGeelong
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-4.00
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.00
180.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
178.67
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
0.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.4 / 15
Prediction separation14.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kilsyth
L · 100-90L · 74-94L · 99-59L · 73-112W · 108-81
Geelong
L · 81-93L · 78-74W · 67-64L · 103-97L · 81-88
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.03.28 | Geelong | 62 : 74 | Kilsyth |
| 2024.05.05 | Kilsyth | 83 : 69 | Geelong |
| 2023.04.01 | Kilsyth | 97 : 95 | Geelong |
| 2018.07.07 | Geelong | 78 : 95 | Kilsyth |
| 2016.06.04 | Kilsyth | 70 : 91 | Geelong |
| 2016.04.08 | Geelong | 87 : 60 | Kilsyth |
| 2015.08.14 | Geelong | 83 : 65 | Kilsyth |
| 2015.05.02 | Kilsyth | 81 : 90 | Geelong |