Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
KnoxHOME · -
107 : 832024.05.04 · 종료
Casey CavaliersAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME84.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY15.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 83.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+84.6%
VALUE EDGE+84.6%
FAIR ODDS1.18
GRADEA
KnoxAnalysis MetricsCasey Cavaliers
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+7.50
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.08
188.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
182.42
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Knox
W · 72-101L · 79-74W · 55-87L · 103-99W · 83-109
Casey Cavaliers
L · 84-83L · 88-79W · 69-87L · 79-81W · 81-87
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.04.02 | Knox | 113 : 92 | Casey Cavaliers |
| 2024.06.16 | Casey Cavaliers | 68 : 110 | Knox |
| 2024.05.04 | Knox | 107 : 83 | Casey Cavaliers |
| 2023.04.29 | Knox | 74 : 60 | Casey Cavaliers |