Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL1 South
Australia
Keilor ThunderHOME · -
83 : 1132024.05.04 · 종료
BallaratAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME41.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY58.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+58.7%
VALUE EDGE+58.7%
FAIR ODDS1.70
GRADEA
Keilor ThunderAnalysis MetricsBallarat
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
+8.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-8.58
173.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
203.58
80.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
6.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.7 / 15
Prediction separation7.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Keilor Thunder
W · 107-101W · 83-96W · 105-96L · 69-87W · 103-97
Ballarat
W · 79-88L · 98-95W · 112-81W · 94-105L · 79-81
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.06.05 | Keilor Thunder | 116 : 98 | Ballarat |
| 2026.04.25 | Ballarat | 72 : 116 | Keilor Thunder |
| 2024.05.04 | Keilor Thunder | 83 : 113 | Ballarat |
| 2023.04.14 | Keilor Thunder | 95 : 92 | Ballarat |