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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL1 South Australia
ElthamHOME · -
77 : 862024.05.04 · 종료
RingwoodAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME75.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY24.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK HOME 77.3% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +75.4%
VALUE EDGE+75.4%
FAIR ODDS1.33
GRADEA
ElthamAnalysis MetricsRingwood
83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
+14.58 Point MarginHigher is better -4.50
169.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 186.17
75.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 42.9%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.3일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
75.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
24.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Eltham
L · 89-81W · 99-59W · 96-75W · 75-85L · 104-91
Ringwood
W · 77-89L · 95-83L · 74-84L · 112-81W · 74-80

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.04.09Ringwood79 : 83Eltham
2024.05.04Eltham77 : 86Ringwood
2023.04.21Ringwood77 : 87Eltham